Apr 15, 2026 1:23 p.m.

Morning Briefing - 15 Apr. 2026

Farid Muzaffar CommoPlast Asia Sdn Bhd
Chinese PVC faces a structural downward repricing as regional export pressures mount, while diverging fundamentals in Indonesia see PE supported by supply constraints as PP yields to cheaper imports.
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Morning Briefing

15 April 2026

 

Brent: $94.79 (- $4.57)

WTI: $91.28 (- $7.80)

 

Naphtha CFR Japan: â

 

Ethylene CFR NEA: Stable

Ethylene CFR SEA: Stable

 

Propylene FOB Korea: á

Propylene CFR China: á

 

*Data represent closing prices of the previous trading day

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Chinese PVC reprices lower as export pressure builds into Southeast Asia

Chinese PVC exports into Southeast Asia have reset sharply, with ethylene-based offers sliding as underlying imbalances force a correction. What began as a mild adjustment has quickly evolved into a broader repricing cycle, driven by falling Chinese futures, an unsustainable premium over carbide-based material, and persistently weak regional demand.

The move signals a structural realignment rather than a temporary dip. Ethylene-based producers are being pushed back toward carbide-linked economics as arbitrage gaps stretch, while India’s muted import appetite continues to deflect surplus volumes into Southeast Asia.

With buyers largely covered and increasingly selective, pricing power has shifted decisively to the downside. Absent a rebound in demand or a floor in Chinese futures, near-term downward pressure remains entrenched.

Read full story:

China-origin ethylene-based PVC dives over $100/ton in Southeast Asia as futures soften, demand stalls

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Indonesian major maintains PE gains as resolve begins to fray on China imports

Indonesia’s polyolefin market opened with a decisive move from a major domestic producer, lifting PE offers despite softening demand to defend margins against tightening ethylene supply. The hike signals a clear bet that structural constraints and upstream risk will outweigh near-term consumption weakness.

However, this momentum is decoupling in the PP sector, where cheaper China-origin cargoes are undercutting official prices and shifting leverage back to buyers.

Traders are capitalising on lower-cost imports, while producers hold firm amid feedstock constraints and looming maintenance risks. The split is widening: PE remains supported by supply tightness, while PP drifts under import pressure. In the near term, the balance hinges on whether constrained supply can offset weak demand before further cargo arrivals deepen the correction.

Read full story:

Indonesia polyolefins: PE extends gains; PP momentum stalls on softer demand

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